Sagarins projected on....

[Chris_Butcher]

UK seasons......


Kentucky's Rank in Sagarin Predictor Ratings: 130 of 341
Predictor Rating: 74.48
Projected final record: 11-19
*NOTE: Projected records are calculated by adding up the win PROBABILITIES of all games, NOT by counting the number of games in which a team is favored.

Game-by-game projections / win probabilities (Predictor ranking in parentheses):

(237) Liberty -- Win by 11 -- 83%
(274) Texas Southern -- Win by 14 -- 88%
(268) Stony Brook-NY -- Win by 13 -- 87%
(11) North Carolina -- Lose by 10 -- 19%
@ (33) Indiana -- Lose by 14 -- 12%
(19) UAB -- Lose by 10 -- 20%
@ (90) Houston -- Lose by 8 -- 26%
(170) Tennessee Tech -- Win by 7 -- 72%
(100) San Diego -- Win by 2 -- 55%
(290) Fla. International -- Win by 15 -- 90%
(29) Louisville -- Lose by 6 -- 30%
(44) Vanderbilt -- Lose by 4 -- 35%
@ (16) Mississippi State -- Lose by 17 -- 7%
@ (3) Florida -- Lose by 23 -- 3%
(99) Tennessee -- Win by 2 -- 55%
(14) South Carolina -- Lose by 9 -- 22%
@ (56) Georgia -- Lose by 11 -- 17%
@ (175) Auburn -- Lose by 1 -- 47%
(74) Alabama -- Lose by 1 -- 47%
@ (44) Vanderbilt -- Lose by 13 -- 14%
@ (114) LSU -- Lose by 6 -- 32%
(56) Georgia -- Lose by 3 -- 40%
(46) Arkansas -- Lose by 4 -- 37%
(30) Mississippi -- Lose by 6 -- 31%
@ (99) Tennessee -- Lose by 7 -- 29%
@ (14) South Carolina -- Lose by 18 -- 7%
(3) Florida -- Lose by 15 -- 11%
SEC Tournament First Round: (46) Arkansas -- Lose by 8 -- 25%

SEC Tournament Record: 0.3 wins, 1.0 loss

No postseason tournament


Projected SEC records (Predictor Ranking in parentheses):

East:
(3) Florida -- 13-3
(14) South Carolina -- 11-5
(44) Vanderbilt -- 8-8
(56) Georgia -- 8-8
(99) Tennessee -- 6-10
(130) Kentucky -- 4-12

West:
(16) Mississippi State -- 11-5
(30) Mississippi -- 10-6
(46) Arkansas -- 9-7
(74) Alabama -- 7-9
(114) LSU -- 6-10
(175) Auburn -- 3-13


Projected SEC Tournament Results (Seeds precede team names):

First round, Thursday, March 13:
W4-Alabama over E5-Tennessee by 2
E3-Vanderbilt over W6-Auburn by 12
E4-Georgia over W5-LSU by 6
W3-Arkansas over E6-Kentucky by 8

Second round, Friday, March 14:
E1-Florida over W4-Alabama by 14
W2-Mississippi over E3-Vanderbilt by 1
W1-Mississippi State over E4-Georgia by 6
E2-South Carolina over W3-Arkansas by 5

Semifinals, Saturday, March 15:
E1-Florida over W2-Mississippi by 9
E2-South Carolina over W1-Mississippi State by 1

Final, Sunday, March 16:
E1-Florida over E2-South Carolina by 5

[Chris_Butcher]

Louisville......


Louisville's Rank in Sagarin Predictor Ratings: 29 of 341
Predictor Rating: 84.94
Projected final record: 23-11
*NOTE: Projected records are calculated by adding up the win PROBABILITIES of all games, NOT by counting the number of games in which a team is favored.

Game-by-game projections / win probabilities (Predictor ranking in parentheses):

(244) Hartford -- Win by 22 -- 97%
(309) Jackson State -- Win by 29 -- 99%
@ (78) UNLV -- Win by 1 -- 55%
vs. (10) BYU -- Lose by 4 -- 36%
vs. (39) Old Dominion -- Win by 2 -- 55%
(72) Miami-Ohio -- Win by 9 -- 78%
(138) Dayton -- Win by 16 -- 90%
vs. (92) Purdue -- Win by 7 -- 72%
(218) Marshall -- Win by 20 -- 96%
(140) New Mexico State -- Win by 16 -- 90%
(306) Morehead State -- Win by 28 -- 99%
(224) Iona -- Win by 21 -- 96%
(174) Cincinnati -- Win by 18 -- 93%
@ (130) Kentucky -- Win by 6 -- 70%
(31) West Virginia -- Win by 5 -- 65%
@ (144) Rutgers -- Win by 8 -- 74%
(82) Marquette -- Win by 10 -- 80%
@ (132) Seton Hall -- Win by 7 -- 71%
@ (236) South Florida -- Win by 13 -- 87%
(160) St. John's -- Win by 17 -- 92%
@ (64) Connecticut -- Lose by 1 -- 49%
(144) Rutgers -- Win by 16 -- 91%
@ (82) Marquette -- Win by 2 -- 56%
(12) Georgetown -- Win by 1 -- 51%
@ (70) Depaul -- Win by 1 -- 53%
@ (38) Providence -- Lose by 3 -- 40%
(62) Syracuse -- Win by 8 -- 74%
@ (24) Pittsburgh -- Lose by 5 -- 35%
(2) Notre Dame -- Lose by 5 -- 33%
(35) Villanova -- Win by 5 -- 66%
@ (12) Georgetown -- Lose by 8 -- 26%
Big East Tournament First Round: Bye
Big East Tournament Second Round: (31) West Virginia -- Win by 1 -- 52%
Big East Tournament Semifinals: (2) Notre Dame -- Lose by 10 -- 21%

Big East Tournament Record: 0.8 wins, 0.9 loss
NCAA Tournament: #8 seed -- 0.7 wins, 1.0 loss


Projected Big East records (Predictor Ranking in parentheses):

(2) Notre Dame -- 16-2
(12) Georgetown -- 13-5
(24) Pittsburgh -- 12-6
(29) Louisville -- 11-7
(31) West Virginia -- 11-7
(35) Villanova -- 11-7
(38) Providence -- 11-7
(62) Syracuse -- 9-9
(64) Connecticut -- 9-9
(70) DePaul -- 8-10
(82) Marquette -- 8-10
(132) Seton Hall -- 6-12
(144) Rutgers -- 6-12
(160) St. John's -- 5-13
(174) Cincinnati -- 5-13
(236) South Florida -- 3-15


Projected Big East Tournament Results (Seeds precede team names):

First round, Wednesday, March 12:
Noon-ESPN -- 8-Syracuse over 9-Connecticut by 1
2:00 PM-ESPN -- 5-West Virginia over 12-Seton Hall by 10
7:00 PM-ESPN -- 7-Providence over 10-DePaul by 4
9:00 PM-ESPN -- 6-Villanova over 11-Marquette by 5

Second round, Thursday, March 13:
Noon-ESPN -- 1-Notre Dame over 8-Syracuse by 13
2:00 PM-ESPN -- 4-Louisville over 5-West Virginia by 1
7:00 PM-ESPN -- 2-Georgetown over 7-Providence by 5
9:00 PM-ESPN -- 3-Pittsburgh over 6-Villanova by 1

Semifinals, Friday, March 14:
7:00 PM-ESPN -- 1-Notre Dame over 4-Louisville by 10
9:00 PM-ESPN -- 2-Georgetown over 3-Pittsburgh by 3

Final, Saturday, March 15:
8:00 PM-ESPN -- 1-Notre Dame over 2-Georgetown by 6

[dragracerdave]

butch you get more and more full of it all the time ;D

[Chris_Butcher]

thats not me that does those sagarins deal i just copied and pasted,they change daily.

man UL tok a big blow today losong Padgett for at least 10 weeks,and maybe for the season to a cracked knee cap.

[Chris_Butcher]

look at the games so far....Sargarin aint been off very far yet in either one.

[montecarlo2x77]

i dont think ky will win 10 games they notready 4 div 1?

[dragracerdave]

they need tocombine louisville and ky they both might do better

[Chris_Butcher]

UL will be fine,there just struggling right now with no leadership,they miss Padgett right now bad,but when Feb rolls around they will be rolling as Padgett will be back on the court by mid Jan..Palacios will be back in a couple of weeks....itsa all there it just aint clicking yet,and nows the time to not click instead of feb-march.

and WOW if UL can land Tyreke Evans,gonna be SPECIAL next year.

[montecarlo2x77]

the louisville cats sounds pretty good.

[Chris_Butcher]

that sounds gay. ;D

[dragracerdave]

UL wont be fine if thats the case because UK has the same problems no leadership you think padgett willbe back wont take much to reinjure that knee it will be tender. UK has some injured players that hurts them. gotta give billy g. a couple years to see what he can do. ;D

[Chris_Butcher]

Padgett gets back on the court he will be fine,he was dressed yesterday and walking pretty good,he just hurt the knee cap,they can pad that pretty good,and what UL is missing is Sosa`s leader ship like he did late last season,RP will get him back to playing a team ball and then get Padgett back will be icing on the cake,remember this is the same exact team from last year.Padgett is the leader on the court for them and with him back out there and if Sosa ever gets back were hes supposed to be we`ll be fine.

and Clark is a stud this year and all of this extra playing time for DC is only going to help when DP and Juan get back,when late jan and feb rolls around UL will be fine mark it down.

UK is a different story,they got a thug in Bradley who has NEVER been a team player,thats the difference in them,no point guard and the one they got never has been.

[Chris_Butcher]

also Padgetts knee wasnt as bad as Rick mad it out to be,not a real bad injury just couldnt play with it,DP done said he will be back in Jan....NCAA turned down his 6th year,so hes not gonna just sit and watch,hes a tough kid.

[montecarlo2x77]

did louisville lose to dayton i think im seeing things .?

[Chris_Butcher]

well Caracter kicked off the team again,man he needs to grow up.

[malibu2x33]

they will have a lossing season this year no doubt, but like dave said it will take 2 or 3 years to get a better team. and that is if he gets guys that will stay for 2 or 3 years and not 1 year players.

[fastdadddy]

guys i agree with butcher u better watch louisville in feb, and march, i see a sleeper in the making

[malibu2x33]

no uk is a sleeper, they are never awake, hope they wake up in the future

[dragracerdave]

what about patrino coming to the sec butch? How you think he will do? i'd say he will do a good job betcha wished he stayed at UL dont ya they missed him this year ;D

[Chris_Butcher]

ya he will do fine at Arkansas,i wouldnt be surprised to see some UL players that are there now transfer to him the ones he recruited,they may not but most of the current players dont like Kragcoker at all....ya they missed BP bad,to bad Krag didnt leave he may of came back to UL,i had heard BP and Jurich were still talking alot.